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#' Right-boundary procedure
#'
#' True null proportion (pi_0) estimator of Liang and Nettleton (2012), JRSSB
#' @param pval vector of p-values
#' @param lambda.vec vector of lambda candidates (excluding 0 and 1)
#' @return the estimate of the overall true null proportion
#' @export
#' @examples
#' pval <- c(runif(900), rbeta(100, 1, 10))
#' EstNullProp_RB(pval)
EstNullProp_RB <- function(pval, lambda.vec = 0.05*seq_len(19)){
#fixed lambda
if(length(lambda.vec)==1){
return(sum(pval>lambda.vec)/(1-lambda.vec))
}
if(length(lambda.vec)<1){
stop("lambda.vec empty")
}
if(sum(lambda.vec>0 & lambda.vec<1) < length(lambda.vec)){
stop("Values in lambda.vec should be between 0 and 1.")
}
m <- length(pval)
B <- length(lambda.vec)+1 # number of bins
bin <- c(-0.01, lambda.vec, 1)
bin.counts <- hist(pval, breaks=bin, plot=FALSE)$counts
# all but the last bin
bin.counts <- bin.counts[-length(bin.counts)]
R <- cumsum(bin.counts)
tail.m0 <- (m-R+1)/(1-lambda.vec)
temp <- tail.m0[2:(B-1)]-tail.m0[seq_len(B-2)]
# index for selected lambda
if(sum(temp >= 0)>0){
index <- min((2:(B-1))[temp >= 0])
}else{
index <- B-1
}
return(tail.m0[index]/m)
}
#' FDR estimation
#'
#' False discovery rate (FDR) estimation from local FDR
#' @param fdr vector of local FDR
#' @return the estimate of the FDR
#' @export
#' @examples
#' lfdr <- c(runif(900), rbeta(100, 1, 10))
#' FDR <- EstFDR(lfdr)
#' sum(FDR<0.05)
EstFDR <- function(fdr){
o <- order(fdr, decreasing = FALSE)
FDR <- fdr
FDR[o] <- cumsum(fdr[o])/seq_along(fdr)
return(FDR)
}
# pi_0 estimator of Jin and Cai (2007), JASA
EstNullProp_JC <- function(x,u=0,sigma=1)
{
# x is a vector
# u is the mean
# sigma is the standard deviation
z = (x - u)/sigma
xi = c(0:100)/100
tmax=sqrt(log(length(x)))
tt=seq(0,tmax,0.1)
epsest=NULL
for (j in seq_along(tt)) {
t=tt[j]
f = t*xi
f = exp(f^2/2)
w = (1 - abs(xi))
co = 0*xi
for (i in seq_len(101)) {
co[i] = mean(cos(t*xi[i]*z));
}
epshat = 1 - sum(w*f*co)/sum(w)
epsest=c(epsest,epshat)
}
return(epsest=1-max(epsest))
}
# bandwidth with normal reference rule
get_normal_bw <- function(xdat, y){
n <- length(y)
d <- cbind(xdat, y)
d_sd <- apply(d, MARGIN=2, sd)
d_iqr <- apply(d, MARGIN=2, IQR)/1.349
d_mad <- apply(d, MARGIN=2, mad)
sigma <- pmin(d_sd, d_iqr, d_mad)
bw <- 1.06*sigma*n^(-1.0/(4+ncol(d)))
return(bw)
}
# optimal bandwidth for conditional alternative density estimation
get_bandwidth <- function(bw.init, x, y, info, n.subsample, reltol, lfdr, pi0v){
m <- length(y)
# initial bandwidth
if(is.null(bw.init)){
# normal-reference rule
bw.init <- get_normal_bw(xdat=x, y=y)
}
if(info) cat("Initial bandwidth: ", bw.init, "\n")
if(is.null(n.subsample) || n.subsample>m){
index.subsample <- seq_len(m)
}else{
index.subsample <- sample.int(m, size=n.subsample, replace=FALSE)
if(info) cat("Estimate bandwidth with ", n.subsample, " samples.\n")
}
res <- optim(log(bw.init), get_local_f1_loocv_ise_optim,
control=list(reltol=reltol),
xdat=x, y=y, lfdr=lfdr, pi0v=pi0v,
index.subsample=index.subsample)
#bandwidth
bw <- exp(res$par)
if(info) cat("Bandwidth: ", bw, date(), "\n")
return(bw)
}
# estimate f1, weighted by 1-lfdr
get_f1 <- function(y, lfdr){
W <- pmax(1-lfdr, 0)
fit <- density(y, n=1000, weights=W/sum(W))
f1 <- approx(fit$x, fit$y, y, rule=2, ties="ordered")$y
return(f1)
}
# given xdat (covariate), f0, f1 and initial values of lfdr and pi0v,
# iteratively update pi0 to maximize the likelihood
get_pi0v_f1 <- function(xdat, lfdr, pi0v, f0, f1, check.gam=FALSE, k.gam=NULL){
if(is.vector(xdat)){
xd <- 1
dat <- data.frame(x1=xdat,lfdr=lfdr)
}else{# matrix
xd <- ncol(xdat)
colnames(xdat) <- paste0('x', seq_len(xd))
dat <- data.frame(xdat,lfdr)
}
xVariables <- paste0('x', seq_len(xd), collapse=',')
if(is.null(k.gam)){
txtCmd <- paste0('mgcv::gam(lfdr~s(', xVariables, '), data=dat)')
}else{
txtCmd <- paste0('mgcv::gam(lfdr~s(', xVariables,
', k=k.gam), data=dat)')
}
res <- get_pi0v_f1_iter(dat, lfdr, pi0v, f0, f1, k.gam, txtCmd)
if(check.gam) mgcv::gam.check(res$fit)
return(list(pi0v=res$pi0v, lfdr=res$lfdr, likhood=res$likhood,
iter=res$iter, fit.gam=res$fit))
}
# iteratively update pi0 to maximize the likelihood
get_pi0v_f1_iter <- function(dat, lfdr, pi0v, f0, f1, k.gam, txtCmd,
epsilon=1e-5, max.iter=200) {
iter <- 1
likhood <- sum(log(pi0v*f0+(1-pi0v)*f1))
pi0.target <- mean(pi0v)
while(1){
pi0v.old <- pi0v
lfdr.old <- lfdr
likhood.old <- likhood
# E step
lfdr <- pi0v*f0/(pi0v*f0+(1-pi0v)*f1)
dat$lfdr <- lfdr
# M step
fit <- eval(parse(text=txtCmd))
pi0v <- fit$fitted.values
pi0v <- pmax(pmin(pi0v, 1), 0)
pi0v <- normalize_pi0(pi0v, pi0.target)
likhood <- sum(log(pi0v*f0+(1-pi0v)*f1))
dif <- likhood-likhood.old
if(dif<0){
pi0v <- pi0v.old
likhood <- likhood.old
}
if(dif < epsilon) break
if(iter==max.iter) break
iter <- iter+1
}
return(list(pi0v=pi0v, lfdr=pi0v*f0/(pi0v*f0+(1-pi0v)*f1), likhood=likhood,
iter=iter, fit.gam=fit))
}
# conditional density
get_local_f1_density <- function(xdat, y, bw, lfdr){
bw.x <- bw[-length(bw)]
bw.y <- bw[length(bw)]
f1 <- rep(0, length(y))
for(i in seq_along(y)){
W <- get_kweight(xdat, bw.x, i)*(1-lfdr)
fit <-density(y, bw=bw.y, weights=W/sum(W))
f1[i] <- approx(fit$x, fit$y, y[i])$y
}
return(f1)
}
# leave-one-out cross-validation wrapper for optim function
# bw in log form so no restriction
get_local_f1_loocv_ise_optim <- function(bw, xdat, y, lfdr, pi0v,
index.subsample=NULL){
get_local_f1_loocv_ise(xdat=xdat, y=y,
bw.x=exp(bw[-length(bw)]), bw.y=exp(bw[length(bw)]),
lfdr=lfdr, pi0v=pi0v,
index.subsample=index.subsample)
}
# xdat: m*p matrix
get_local_f1_loocv_ise <- function(xdat, y, bw.x, bw.y, lfdr, pi0v,
index.subsample=NULL){
m <- length(y)
# leave-one-out f1
I1 <- f1 <- rep(0, length(index.subsample))
tmp <- density(y, bw=bw.y)
lb <- tmp$x[1]
rb <- tmp$x[length(tmp$x)]
bin.length.y <- mean(diff(tmp$x))
for(j in seq_along(index.subsample)){
i <- index.subsample[j]
W <- get_kweight_loo(xdat, bw.x, i)*(1-lfdr[-i])
fit <- density(y[-i], bw=bw.y, from=lb, to=rb, weights=W/sum(W))
I1[j] <- sum(fit$y^2) * bin.length.y
f1[j] <- approx(fit$x, fit$y, y[i])$y
}
I2 <- -2*f1*(1-lfdr[index.subsample])/pmax(1-pi0v[index.subsample],
.Machine$double.xmin)
return(mean(I1)+mean(I2))
}
# Gaussian kernel
kern_G <- function (x, xi, h)
{
exp(-((xi-x)/h)^2/2)/sqrt(2*pi)
}
# product of kernel weight
get_kweight <- function(xdat, bw.x, i){
# 1d
if(length(bw.x)==1) return(kern_G(xdat[i], xdat, bw.x))
# >1d
W <- rep(1, nrow(xdat))
for(j in seq_len(ncol(xdat))){
W <- W*kern_G(xdat[i, j], xdat[, j], bw.x[j])
W <- W/sum(W)
}
return(W)
}
# product of kernel weight leave-one-out
get_kweight_loo <- function(xdat, bw.x, i){
# 1d
if(length(bw.x)==1) return(kern_G(xdat[i], xdat[-i], bw.x))
# >1d
W <- rep(1, nrow(xdat)-1)
for(j in seq_len(ncol(xdat))){
W <- W*kern_G(xdat[i, j], xdat[-i, j], bw.x[j])
W <- W/sum(W)
}
return(W)
}
normalize_pi0_logit <- function(delta, pi0v, pi0.target){
mean(expit(logit(pi0v)+delta))-pi0.target
}
normalize_pi0 <- function(pi0v, pi0.target){
delta <- pi0.target-mean(pi0v)
if(delta==0) return(pi0v)
if(sum(pi0v+delta>1)>0 | sum(pi0v+delta<0)>0){
bound <- 1
if(delta > 0){
while(1){
if(normalize_pi0_logit(bound, pi0v, pi0.target)>0){
delta.logit <- uniroot(normalize_pi0_logit, c(0,bound),
pi0v=pi0v,
pi0.target=pi0.target)$root
break
}else{
bound <- bound * 10
}
}
}else{
while(1){
if(normalize_pi0_logit(-bound, pi0v, pi0.target)<0){
delta.logit <- uniroot(normalize_pi0_logit, c(-bound,0),
pi0v=pi0v,
pi0.target=pi0.target)$root
break
}else{
bound <- bound * 10
}
}
}
return(expit(logit(pi0v)+delta.logit))
}else{
return(pi0v+delta)
}
}
logit <- function(x){
log(x/(1-x))
}
expit <- function(x, bound=700){
res <- exp(x)/(1+exp(x))
res[x>bound] <- 1
return(res)
}
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