#' @include calculate_posterior.R
#'
#' @title Initialization
#'
#' @description Initialize internal state from the options set.
#'
#'
#' @param options: list with entries as explained below.
#' Options set -- defines the problem and sets some
#' parameters to control the MCMC algorithm.
#' @param model: List of model parameters - to estimate.
#' The parameter objects must each have a
#' 'value' attribute containing the parameter's numerical value.
#' @param estimate_params: list.
#' List of parameters to estimate, all of which must also be listed
#' in 'options$model$parameters'.
#' @param initial_values: list of float, optional.
#' Starting values for parameters to estimate. If omitted, will use
#' the nominal values from 'options$model$parameters'
#' @param step_fn: callable f(output), optional.
#' User callback, called on every MCMC iteration.
#' @param likelihood_fn: callable f(output, position).
#' User likelihood function.
#' @param prior_fn: callable f(output, position), optional.
#' User prior function. If omitted, a flat prior will be used.
#' @param nsteps: int.
#' Number of MCMC iterations to perform.
#' @param use_hessian: logical, optional.
#' Wheter to use the Hessian to guide the walk. Defaults to FALSE.
#' @param rtol: float or list of float, optional.
#' Relative tolerance for ode solver.
#' @param atol: float or list of float, optional.
#' Absolute tolerance for ode solver.
#' @param norm_step_size: float, optional.
#' MCMC step size. Defaults to a reasonable value.
#' @param hessian_period: int, optional.
#' Number of MCMC steps between Hessian recalculations. Defaults
#' to a reasonable but fairly large value, as Hessian calculation is expensive.
#' @param hessian_scale: float, optional.
#' Scaling factor used in generating Hessian-guided steps. Defaults to a
#' reasonable value.
#' @param sigma_adj_interval: int, optional.
#' How often to adjust 'output$sig_value' while annealing to meet
#' 'accept_rate_target'. Defaults to a reasonable value.
#' @param anneal_length: int, optional.
#' Length of initial "burn-in" annealing period. Defaults to 10% of
#' 'nsteps', or if 'use_hessian' is TRUE, to 'hessian_period' (i.e.
#' anneal until first hessian is calculated)
#' @param T_init: float, optional.
#' Initial temperature for annealing. Defaults to a resonable value.
#' @param accept_rate_target: float, optional.
#' Desired acceptance rate during annealing. Defaults to a reasonable value.
#' See also 'sigma_adj_interval' above.
#' @param sigma_max: float, optional.
#' Maximum value for 'output$sig_value'. Defaults to a resonable value.
#' @param sigma_min: float, optional.
#' Minimum value for 'output$sig_value'. Defaults to a resonable value.
#' @param sigma_step: float, optional.
#' Increment for 'output$sig_value' adjustments. Defaults to a resonable
#' value. To eliminate adaptive step size, set sigma_step to 1.
#' @param thermo_temp: float in the range [0,1], optional.
#' Temperature for thermodynamic integration support. Used to scale
#' likelihood when calculating the posterior value. Defaults to 1,
#' i.e. no effect.
#'
#'
#' @param output: List of output values with entries as explained below.
#' @param num_estimate: int.
#' Number of parameters to estimate.
#' @param estimate_idx: list of int.
#' Indices of parameters to estimate in the model's full parameter list.
#' @param initial_values: list of float.
#' Starting values for parameters to estimate, taken from the parameters'
#' nominal values in the model or explicitly specified in 'options'.
#' @param initial_position: list of float.
#' Starting position of the MCMC walk in parameter space (log10 of 'initial_values').
#' @param position: list of float.
#' Current position of MCMC walk in parameter space, i.e. the most
#' recently accepted move.
#' @param test_position: list of float.
#' Proposed MCMC mmove.
#' @param acceptance: int.
#' Number of accepted moves.
#' @param T: float.
#' Current value of the simulated annealing temperature.
#' @param T_decay: float.
#' Constant for exponential decay of 'T', automatically calculated such
#' that T will decay from 'options$T_init' down to 1 over the first
#' 'options$anneal_length' setps.
#' @param sig_value: float.
#' Current value of sigma, the scaling factor for the proposal distribution.
#' The MCMC algorithm dynamically tunes this to maintain the aaceptance
#' rate specified in 'options$accept_rate_target'.
#' @param iter: int.
#' Current MCMC step number.
#' @param start_iter: int.
#' Starting MCMC step number.
#' @param ode_options: list.
#' Options for the ODE integrator, currently just 'rtol' for relative
#' tolerance and 'atol' for absolute tolerance.
#' @param initial_prior: float.
#' Starting prior value, i.e. the value at 'initial_position'.
#' @param initial_likelihood: float.
#' Starting likelihood value, i.e. the value at 'initial_position'.
#' @param initial_posterior: float.
#' Starting posterior value, i.e. the value at 'initial_position'.
#' @param accept_prior: float.
#' Current prior value i.e. the value at 'position'.
#' @param accept_likelihood: float.
#' Current likelihood value i.e. the value at 'position'.
#' @param accept_posterior: float.
#' Current posterior value i.e. the value at 'position'.
#' @param test_prior: float.
#' Prior value at 'test_position'.
#' @param test_likelihood: float.
#' Likelihood value at 'test_position'.
#' @param test_posterior: float.
#' Posterior value at 'test_position'.
#' @param hessian: array of float.
#' Current hessian of the posterior landscape. Size is
#' 'num_estimate' x 'num_estimate'.
#' @param positions: array of float.
#' Trace of all proposed moves. Size is 'num_estimate' x 'nsteps'.
#' @param priors: array of float.
#' Trace of all priors corresponding to 'positions'. Length is 'nsteps'.
#' @param likelihoods: array of float.
#' Trace of all likelihoods corresponding to 'positions'. Length is 'nsteps'.
#' @param posteriors: array of float.
#' Trace of all posteriors corresponding to 'positions'. Length is 'nsteps'.
#' @param alphas: array of float. Trace of 'alpha' parameter and calculated values. Length is 'nsteps'.
#' @param sigmas: array of float. Trace of 'sigma' parameter and calculated values. Length is 'nsteps'.
#' @param delta_posteriors: array of float. Trace of 'delta_posterior' parameter and calculated values. Length is 'nsteps'.
#' @param ts: array of float. Trace of 'T' parameter and calculated values. Length is 'nsteps'.
#' @param accepts: logical array.
#' Trace of wheter each proposed move was accepted or not.
#' Length is 'nsteps'.
#' @param rejects: logical array. Trace of wheter each proposed move was rejected or not. Length is 'nsteps'.
#' @param hessians: array of float.
#' Trace of all hessians. Size is 'num_estimate' x 'num_estimate' x 'num_hessians'
#' where 'num_hessians' is the actual number of hessians to be calculated.
#'
#'
#'
#'
#' @return Initialized 'output' list.
#'
initialize = function(output,options){
# create list of starting values from initial parameter values given by user.
# vector only contains values which are to be estimated.
output$num_estimate = length(options$estimate_params)
if (!is.null(options$initial_values)){
output$initial_values = options$initial_values
} else {
# if no explicit values given, take values from model
output$initial_values = options$estimate_params
}
# indices of parameters to be estimated
output$estimate_idx = match(options$model$parameters$value, options$estimate_params)
# we actually work in a log-transformed phase space
output$initial_position = log10(output$initial_values)
output$position = output$initial_position
# create ode_options vector with ode_options[1]=rtol, ode_options[2]=atol
output$ode_options = list()
if (!is.null(options$rtol)){
output$ode_options$rtol = options$rtol
}
if (!is.null(options$atol)){
output$ode_options$atol = options$atol
}
output$initial_posterior = calculate_posterior(output,options,output$initial_position)[1]
output$initial_prior = calculate_posterior(output,options,output$initial_position)[2]
output$initial_likelihood = calculate_posterior(output,options,output$initial_position)[3]
output$accept_prior = output$initial_prior
output$accept_likelihood = output$initial_likelihood
output$accept_posterior = output$initial_posterior
# if anneal length is 0, T_decay is irrelevant/undefined
if (options$anneal_length != 0){
output$T_decay = -log10(1e-6)/options$anneal_length
} else {
# if anneal length is 0, then set T_decay to none
# so that we get error if we ever try to use it
output$T_decay = NULL
}
#### this part is not ok but it doesn't influence the example because there is no seed given
if (!is.null(options$seed)){
set.seed(options$seed)
output$random = runif(1)
} else {
output$random = runif(1)
}
#########
output$start_iter = 0
output$acceptance = 0
output$T = options$T_init
output$sig_value = 1
output$hessian = NULL
output$delta_posteriors = numeric(options$nsteps)
output$ts = numeric(options$nsteps)
output$priors = numeric(options$nsteps)
output$likelihoods = numeric(options$nsteps)
output$posteriors = numeric(options$nsteps)
output$positions = matrix(0,options$nsteps, output$num_estimate)
output$alphas = numeric(options$nsteps)
output$sigmas = numeric(options$nsteps)
output$accepts = logical(options$nsteps)
output$rejects = logical(options$nsteps)
hessian_steps = options$nsteps - options$anneal_length
num_hessians = ceiling(hessian_steps/options$hessian_period)
# initialize to zeros so we can see where there were failures
output$hessians = array(0, c(num_hessians, output$num_estimate, output$num_estimate))
return(output)
}
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